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Thursday, July 5, 2012

My rule of thumb

The main principle of investing is this. Poor people have to take risk to create capital. Rich people avoid risk and concentrate on capital preservation - since they already have the capital

(Later having read entire thread)

Sorry rohit, I think you want a different i.e business idea advice - not what I wrote before.

My advice to you is this - for property, timing is everything. This is not the time when property business will give supranormal (20-40%) return within one year. That time was 2010. currently you can expect inflation linked return only.

Rule of thumb is this;

Return on property = rate of inflation + bond rate = 7+8=15% expected

Return on equity = rate of inflation + economy growth rate = 7 + 5 = 12%

Add 10% to equity rate of returns for every 1% lowering of interest rate and subtract 10% from equity rate for every 1% raising of rate.

In property, add 20% to return for every 1% lowering of rate and subtract 5% from property rate for every 1% raising of rate.

This rule of thumb is based on my own experience and is not given in any book

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